Trade compliance is becoming a data problem
Module · Trade Compliance
Screening produces overwhelmingly false positives and every one is cleared by hand.
Prophesee Trade predicts which alerts are real, resolves the ownership chain behind them, and leaves an audit trail a regulator will accept.
Trade: a day in the life
One working day inside Trade, from the morning forecast to the evidence that the intervention worked.
Your team reviews thousands of alerts to find the handful that matter.
Screening produces overwhelmingly false positives and every one is cleared by hand. Meanwhile ownership rules make the decisive fact indirect, classification has become a tariff lever, and licence reviews stretch past six months.
Sources: OpenSanctions consolidated dataset, May 2026 · BCG, Future Of Sanctions Compliance In European Banking, 2024 · BIS press release, Feb 2026 · Thomson Reuters 2026 Global Trade Report (n=225) · CSIS export licensing survey, 2025.
From alert triage to trade foresight
Screening matches fuzzy name and address strings with no entity context, and the threshold is set to over-capture. Over 95% of hits are false positives, every one cleared by hand.
False-positive prediction with confidence and reasons, HS and ECCN classification against BIS criteria, and alert volume forecasts that let you staff ahead of the spike.
Licence value and quantity limits, routing anomalies and transshipment red flags are checked at audit rather than at the shipment.
Sanctions hit thresholds, licence utilisation limits, transshipment anomalies and the 25 BIS red flag indicators run continuously, alerting with severity and owner.
A new designation or tariff tranche lands and exposure by product, corridor and revenue is worked out manually, after the CFO asks.
Take a proposed tariff, a new Entity List tranche or a UFLPA designation and see the exposed SKUs, corridors and revenue before you commit a response.
GTS screens the named party. The BIS Affiliates Rule and the OFAC 50% rule put the exposure in the ownership chain, and analysts trace that one registry at a time.
Ask who ultimately owns this counterparty, get the chain, the percentages and the evidence pack an auditor or BIS will accept.
Turning trade complexity into decisions
Screening matches fuzzy name and address strings with no entity context and the threshold is set to over-capture. 95%+ of hits are false positives, each cleared by hand.
GTS screens the named party. The BIS Affiliates Rule and the OFAC 50% rule put the exposure in the ownership chain, and analysts trace that one registry at a time.
HS and ECCN codes are assigned by hand and the reasoning is not kept, so a reclassification cannot be defended and tariff engineering cannot be tested.
Licence value and quantity limits, routing anomalies and transshipment red flags are checked at audit rather than at the shipment.
A new designation or tariff tranche lands and exposure by product, corridor and revenue is worked out manually, after the CFO asks.
12 AI applications that could be relevant
A sample of what becomes possible on the decision layer, not a fixed list: each application draws on the same data foundation and audit trail, and new ones are configured on the engines, not built from scratch.
Screening alerts scored for likely false positive, with confidence and reasons.
Products classified against BIS criteria, with confidence and the reasoning shown.
Likely outcome and review time for a licence application, before it is filed.
The counterparty book rescreened whenever a list or an ownership fact changes.
Value, quantity and expiry limits on every licence watched shipment by shipment.
Routing anomalies and the BIS red flag indicators watched across every corridor.
A new designation mapped to exposed products, corridors and revenue the same day.
Model a proposed tariff and see landed cost and margin by product and corridor.
Test alternative suppliers and routes for control and duty before you switch.
Who ultimately owns this counterparty, resolved several degrees out with evidence.
Which shipments touched this party, product or corridor, asked in plain language.
The decision, the reasoning and the sources assembled into a pack for a regulator.
Today: Every overnight alert reviewed by hand, almost all of it noise.
Overnight screening alerts scored. Most auto-cleared with a full audit trail, a handful flagged as likely true.
Today: Ownership traced manually, one registry at a time.
The ownership chain resolved three degrees out, percentages and evidence attached.
Today: Exposure worked out after somebody asks, usually the CFO.
Exposed SKUs, corridors and revenue surfaced before anyone thinks to ask her.
Today: Limits checked when a person remembers to check them.
Licence utilisation and transshipment rules ran all day. Two alerts, both owned.
The next risk should never arrive as a surprise.
Clear the alert that matters, faster
We agree the metric and the baseline in week one, and measure the result on your data.