Trade compliance is becoming a data problem

Module · Trade Compliance

Screening produces overwhelmingly false positives and every one is cleared by hand.

Prophesee Trade predicts which alerts are real, resolves the ownership chain behind them, and leaves an audit trail a regulator will accept.

Entity resolutionOwnership traversalClassification and mappingAnomaly detectionForecasting
See it running

Trade: a day in the life

One working day inside Trade, from the morning forecast to the evidence that the intervention worked.

Trade: a day in the life
The shift

Your team reviews thousands of alerts to find the handful that matter.

Screening produces overwhelmingly false positives and every one is cleared by hand. Meanwhile ownership rules make the decisive fact indirect, classification has become a tariff lever, and licence reviews stretch past six months.

281,414
Sanctioned entities across 85 lists and 212 jurisdictions
95%+
Of sanctions screening alerts are false positives
$252.5m
Largest civil penalty in BIS history, February 2026

Sources: OpenSanctions consolidated dataset, May 2026 · BCG, Future Of Sanctions Compliance In European Banking, 2024 · BIS press release, Feb 2026 · Thomson Reuters 2026 Global Trade Report (n=225) · CSIS export licensing survey, 2025.

A new approach

From alert triage to trade foresight

foresight iconForesight
Today · SAP GTS sanctioned party screening

Screening matches fuzzy name and address strings with no entity context, and the threshold is set to over-capture. Over 95% of hits are false positives, every one cleared by hand.

Predict the alert, the code and the queue

False-positive prediction with confidence and reasons, HS and ECCN classification against BIS criteria, and alert volume forecasts that let you staff ahead of the spike.

pulse iconPulse
Today · Post hoc audit

Licence value and quantity limits, routing anomalies and transshipment red flags are checked at audit rather than at the shipment.

Rules that watch every corridor

Sanctions hit thresholds, licence utilisation limits, transshipment anomalies and the 25 BIS red flag indicators run continuously, alerting with severity and owner.

horizon iconHorizon
Today · No model at all

A new designation or tariff tranche lands and exposure by product, corridor and revenue is worked out manually, after the CFO asks.

Model the change before it lands

Take a proposed tariff, a new Entity List tranche or a UFLPA designation and see the exposed SKUs, corridors and revenue before you commit a response.

nexus iconNexus
Today · Nothing, done manually

GTS screens the named party. The BIS Affiliates Rule and the OFAC 50% rule put the exposure in the ownership chain, and analysts trace that one registry at a time.

The ownership graph, in plain language

Ask who ultimately owns this counterparty, get the chain, the percentages and the evidence pack an auditor or BIS will accept.

From challenge to decision

Turning trade complexity into decisions

Problem: Entity resolution
What produces it today: SAP GTS sanctioned party screening

Screening matches fuzzy name and address strings with no entity context and the threshold is set to over-capture. 95%+ of hits are false positives, each cleared by hand.

Engine: foresight icon Foresightnexus icon Nexus
The applications that replace it: Alert Triage ScoringAsk The Trade Graph
Problem: Ownership traversal
What produces it today: Nothing, done manually

GTS screens the named party. The BIS Affiliates Rule and the OFAC 50% rule put the exposure in the ownership chain, and analysts trace that one registry at a time.

Engine: nexus icon Nexus
The applications that replace it: Ownership ChainsContinuous Re-Screening
Problem: Classification and mapping
What produces it today: Spreadsheets and product engineers

HS and ECCN codes are assigned by hand and the reasoning is not kept, so a reclassification cannot be defended and tariff engineering cannot be tested.

Engine: foresight icon Foresightnexus icon Nexus
The applications that replace it: HS And ECCN CodingAudit Evidence Pack
Problem: Anomaly detection
What produces it today: Post hoc audit

Licence value and quantity limits, routing anomalies and transshipment red flags are checked at audit rather than at the shipment.

Engine: pulse icon Pulse
The applications that replace it: Licence Utilisation WatchTransshipment Red Flags
Problem: Forecasting
What produces it today: No model at all

A new designation or tariff tranche lands and exposure by product, corridor and revenue is worked out manually, after the CFO asks.

Engine: foresight icon Foresighthorizon icon Horizon
The applications that replace it: Entity List ExposureTariff Exposure Scenarios
What becomes possible

12 AI applications that could be relevant

A sample of what becomes possible on the decision layer, not a fixed list: each application draws on the same data foundation and audit trail, and new ones are configured on the engines, not built from scratch.

Foresight
Alert Triage Scoring

Screening alerts scored for likely false positive, with confidence and reasons.

Foresight
HS And ECCN Coding

Products classified against BIS criteria, with confidence and the reasoning shown.

Foresight
Licence Outcome Forecast

Likely outcome and review time for a licence application, before it is filed.

Pulse
Continuous Re-Screening

The counterparty book rescreened whenever a list or an ownership fact changes.

Pulse
Licence Utilisation Watch

Value, quantity and expiry limits on every licence watched shipment by shipment.

Pulse
Transshipment Red Flags

Routing anomalies and the BIS red flag indicators watched across every corridor.

Horizon
Entity List Exposure

A new designation mapped to exposed products, corridors and revenue the same day.

Horizon
Tariff Exposure Scenarios

Model a proposed tariff and see landed cost and margin by product and corridor.

Horizon
Sourcing Shift Modelling

Test alternative suppliers and routes for control and duty before you switch.

Nexus
Ownership Chains

Who ultimately owns this counterparty, resolved several degrees out with evidence.

Nexus
Ask The Trade Graph

Which shipments touched this party, product or corridor, asked in plain language.

Nexus
Audit Evidence Pack

The decision, the reasoning and the sources assembled into a pack for a regulator.

How work changes

A day in a foresight-led compliance team

Or watch this day as a film.

Today: Every overnight alert reviewed by hand, almost all of it noise.

With Prophesee:
08:10foresight icon Foresight
The queue is already triaged

Overnight screening alerts scored. Most auto-cleared with a full audit trail, a handful flagged as likely true.

Today: Ownership traced manually, one registry at a time.

With Prophesee:
10:00nexus icon Nexus
Who really owns this counterparty

The ownership chain resolved three degrees out, percentages and evidence attached.

Today: Exposure worked out after somebody asks, usually the CFO.

With Prophesee:
12:30horizon icon Horizon
A new Entity List tranche lands

Exposed SKUs, corridors and revenue surfaced before anyone thinks to ask her.

Today: Limits checked when a person remembers to check them.

With Prophesee:
16:30pulse icon Pulse
Nothing waiting on someone who did not know

Licence utilisation and transshipment rules ran all day. Two alerts, both owned.

The next risk should never arrive as a surprise.

Clear the alert that matters, faster

We agree the metric and the baseline in week one, and measure the result on your data.